Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.103122 0.157631 0.221910 0.300869 0.393145 0.495802 0.616998
2026-02-01 0.029245 0.082978 0.163819 0.279209 0.428885 0.608369 0.832858
2026-02-08 0.004182 0.041042 0.118736 0.247040 0.427879 0.656407 0.952967
2026-02-15 NaN 0.021665 0.096136 0.237322 0.449871 0.728803 1.099898
2026-02-22 NaN 0.012716 0.086237 0.242594 0.489386 0.821520 1.270492
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005778 0.073756 0.239704 0.514898 0.894549 1.415593
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001146 0.057429 0.224924 0.519758 0.938068 1.521756
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000644 0.060023 0.247259 0.581952 1.060106 1.729966
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000336 0.062928 0.270178 0.645256 1.184043 1.941214
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000031 0.061348 0.282802 0.691997 1.285109 2.122900
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000025 0.067635 0.313369 0.768094 1.427612 2.359530
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.069245 0.333139 0.826738 1.545912 2.564737
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.063006 0.335173 0.858627 1.630188 2.730300
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.047015 0.309497 0.843084 1.647065 2.807215
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.031044 0.276051 0.810426 1.636848 2.845926
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.024124 0.265557 0.816330 1.681526 2.957562
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.022152 0.271204 0.851375 1.769181 3.127656
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.018308 0.268122 0.869738 1.831860 3.263721
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.012410 0.252395 0.862902 1.856096 3.346750
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.014733 0.276153 0.932646 1.996440 3.589966
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.017219 0.300473 1.003522 2.138639 3.835976
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.017440 0.313845 1.053287 2.249048 4.038458
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.021654 0.346164 1.139772 2.415162 4.317869